![]() There are obvious concerns for the Packers offense in this contest as this will be much different from last week against the Cowboys, and they mustered just 255 yards of offense in their earlier trip to Seattle with a healthy Rodgers. ![]() Take Green Bay with the points.Įrin Rynning says: This will serve as an ultra-tough task for the Packers on Sunday with their all-world quarterback playing on a gimpy leg and the Seahawks being such a well-rounded team. ![]() I think Green Bay gets into the low-to-mid 20s in this game, which should be enough to cover the number. As a result, we get line value opposing them. Yes, Seattle's defense is great it's just not as great as the numbers make it seem right now. As hard as it is for opposing QBs to have success against Seattle, if anyone can, it is Rodgers. Rodgers is the best ever at avoiding costly interceptions (1.6 percent interception rate in his career). I think Green Bay's game plan will be heavy on the run, forcing Seattle to commit extra defenders in the box and giving Rodgers a much better chance. The past two seasons the Seahawks are 18-2 ATS when the opponent runs the ball 25 times or fewer. Teams that commit to running the ball, regardless of early success, have been the Seahawks' biggest challenge. Looking back at the past two seasons when Seattle has had its stellar defense, teams that succeeded against them all had one thing in common: They beat Seattle by running between the tackles. McCarthy is planning on using a lot of Eddie Lacy, James Starks and even Randall Cobb on the ground. Rodgers' calf could be an issue, but Mike McCarthy has a plan on how to attack the Seattle defense. Over that span, I am 16-8 in game picks in Seahawks games, including the call in last year's Super Bowl over Denver. Wunderdog says: I've been one of the biggest backers of the Seahawks the past two years. The pick: Green Bay plus-4 in first half GB plus-7 for the game (but obviously prefer plus-7.5). The key will be whether Green Bay can avoid turnovers and sustain drives, and it's capable of doing both. I'm tempted to do the same thing with Green Bay plus-4 in the first half, though I do give the Packers a better chance to stick around to the end - even though they lost 36-16 in Seattle in Week 1. Tuley's Take: I was glad I played last week's game at Seattle the right way - taking Carolina in the first half, and avoiding Seattle pouring it on in the second half. The books also probably will face some teaser liability on the Seahawks winning straight up. Wiseguys' view: There are also plenty of sharps on both sides of this game, with those on Seattle snapping up the few minus-6.5s that were available Sunday and those who like Green Bay grabbing the plus-7.5s that popped up. Those on the Seahawks are convinced they're back to their Super Bowl form of a year ago and the home field gives them the edge, while those on the Packers believe Aaron Rodgers will carry his team to victory (or at least the cover). The 51 percent taking the Seahawks cited at ESPN Insider's PickCenter is with the line at 7.5 if it were at 7, Seattle would be picked by a wider margin. Public perception: The public is pretty split with these two very popular teams. Spread: Opened Seattle -7 now Seattle -7 (-120) Matchup: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks
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